Wednesday, August 24, 2005

Race Preparation Step 5: Race 8

Bouy Data

Checked the wind direction history for the NE bouy in Lake Ontario. The current wind direction is N( 10 deg true). Looking at the history data it shows 4 hour trends for wind shifts. Consistent with this trend I expect the wind to start shifting to NE at 12:00 pm. If the pattern stays consistent it should also shift around 4 and 8 pm which means the wind should shift on the 2nd upwind leg and the second downwind leg towards the finish.

Coaurse Prediction

Based on the info available at 12:08 pm I am estimating the course to be 3:2:3:2, based on an overall wind shift at race time to NNE( 30 deg true).


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